AGIdex
SUB-CAPABILITY · DECISION MAKING

Risk Assessment

48%
vs. HUMAN BASELINE = 100
PartialConf · Medium

Scoring rubric

0–20
Early research
20–40
Narrow benchmark competence
40–60
Strong benchmark · reliability gaps
60–80
Human-competitive in common scenarios
80–100
Comparable to typical skilled adult
100+
Reliably exceeds typical human baseline

Score vs. baseline

Trend · Last 12 months
12mo ago   %
6mo ago   %
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Δ 12mo   +0

What this measures

Human baseline

Identify and weigh obvious risks in a familiar plan.

Human frontier

Identify low-probability tail risks in genuinely novel situations.

Current state

What works

Cataloging known risks from prior cases; structured risk checklists.

Key gaps

Genuinely novel tail risks with no historical precedent; emergent system risks.

Evidence

0 sources
TechnologyQualitySourceScore vs. baselineScore
No evidence records yet.
Source: paperswithcode.com/task/risk-assessment · Last reviewed May 2026